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Super Bowl LX|Seahawks vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview & Best Options

One video game left. Winner take all. The Seattle Seahawks will face off with the New England Patriots this Sunday in Super Bowl LX; live from Levi Stadium in Santa Clara, California

With this being the greatest video game of the year, there was no chance I might cover this alone. Thankfully, our extremely own Danny Burke offered to help take on the weight and break down Super Bowl LX.

Excitement is in the air so let's jump right into the big game.

For additional info on picks, props, moneylines, and more for Super Bowl LX, take a look at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.

Game Information

Matchup Information

- Location: Levi Stadium; Santa Clara, California.

Date: Sunday, February 8th, 2026
Kickoff: 6:30 PM EST

Quarterback Matchup

- Seattle Seahawks: Sam Darnold (2025: 16-3|237.8 YPG|29 TD|14 INT).
New England Patriots: Drake Maye (2025: 17-3|246.4 YPG|35 TD|10 INT)

Analysis & Breakdown

What's the Patriot Way? Winning games, no matter how awful it gets.

Last week's match with the Broncos was precisely that. It was cold, snowy and winds were blowing every which way. The video game saw less than 400 overall backyards in between the 2 teams, just 17 total points and a scoreless 4th quarter.

Drake Maye tossed for a season low 86 lawns, completed fewer than 50% of his passes, but he did run in the one and only Patriots touchdown. Against Houston, Maye tossed for 179 lawns, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception and he lost 2 fumbles.

In the postseason, Maye's played three games and he's finishing simply 55.8% of his passes, balancing 177.7 pass yards per video game, with 4 goal passes and 5 total turnovers. It hasn't been quite, however that's why there's 2 sides of the football.

New England leads all playoff teams in challenger points permitted (8.7/ game), challenger yards (208.7/ video game), takeaways (8) and sacks (12.0 ). During the regular season, this defense ranks fourth in points permitted, 9th in pass backyards enabled and with Christian Gonzalez back on the field; one of the most feared corners in the video game.

The Patriots are developed to win awful, but their also built to win quite. Maye's been an MVP candidate for the majority of the year and he's simply in his very first year as the group's full-time starter. This game's shaping up to be one for the books and I could not be more thrilled.

The Seahawks have been remarkable on both sides of the ball, but without this defense it's hard to envision a world in which they make it this far. The Hawks rank 1st in points enabled, 1st in challenger EPA/play (-0.113 ), 3rd in opponent rush lawns and second in opponent backyards per play. They've got the the 5th best redzone defense, rank 6th in overall sacks and have forced the fifth most turnovers.

Both their protection unit and protective line have actually been graded in the leading five this year and the mastermind behind all of it is Head Coach Mike Macdonald. In simply his second year as a head coach, Macdonald's developed among the toughest defenses in the NFL and his protective playbook is deeper than some offensive playbooks I've seen.

On the offending side, it's been a Klint Kubiak masterclass. He's running this Seahawks offense to perfection and it's lead to the NFL's 3rd finest offense, averaging 28.4 points per video game. The group ranks 8th in pass backyards, 10th in rush backyards and 3rd in lawns per play. The problem with Seattle's offense has actually been Sam Darnold's turnovers.

Darnold lead the league with 20 total turnovers, 14 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. If not for his defense requiring 25 turnovers of their own, this Seahawks group might look really various. Darnold certainly looked like a leading 10 QB this year however the turnover problems are something to keep an eye on entering into the big video game.

Varun's Best choices

Mack Hollins o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)|Lucky Rebel

Mack Hollins made his go back to the field last week and despite seeing simply 2 targets, he drew in both for 51 lawns in the frigid temperatures of Denver, Colorado. Hollins has actually also cleared this line in 9 of his L11 video games, averaging 5.3 targets and 50.8 getting yards per video game.

Hollins and Maye have developed a connection that's been a load of fun to enjoy and one that usually consists of use of the deep ball. He's seeing a typical depth of target of 13.3 yards/target, he hasn't dropped a single ball this season and he's getting a bulk of his snaps out wide.

Maye completed the year top-10 in deep toss rate and Hollins sits 2nd on the group in targets of 20+ lawns. The Seahawks are quiting almost 70% of their getting production to outdoors large receivers this year and it's why this line simply feels a little bit low.

Byron Murphy II to Record a Sack (+170)|Lucky Rebel

Might noise a little strange at first, however Byron Murphy II is in his second year in the NFL and he's been wonderful. He's got 7.0 sacks on the year and despite not recording a sack up until now in the postseason, he's been a crucial part of this defensive line. Murphy leads the Seahawks in pass rush win rate up until now in the playoffs and he's been able to produce 7 pressures doing it; simply no sacks.

Murphy's also using the right side of that defensive line, at the DT area. The Patriots have actually given up 5 sacks up until now in the postseason and 67% of those sacks have come from the left side of that offensive line. During the routine season it was more of the very same, of the 73% of sacks that could be credited to the offending line, 45% of that came from the left side; primarily from the interior.

The kid's due to tape-record his very first ever postseason sack and what much better game to do in.

Danny's Best options

We have actually finally made it to the big game. It's always a bittersweet feeling during the two-week lead-up to the Super Bowl, but ideally we're in for a heck of a game. And of course, with it comes a wide variety of wagering opportunities.

I also took a couple of shots in the Super Bowl MVP market. You can click on this link for a more extensive breakdown of the players I'll be sweating to take home the award.

Kenneth Walker o20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)|Lucky Rebel

The first bet I positioned was Kenneth Walker to review his 20.5 receiving backyard line. Walker has played a significant function in the passing video game for much of the season, but we have actually seen a noticeable uptick because involvement since his backfield mate, Zach Charbonnet, went down with an injury in the NFC Divisional Round.

Because video game, Sam Darnold targeted Walker three times. He caught all 3 passes and turned them into 29 lawns. In the NFC Championship Game, Walker took all four of his targets for 49 yards against the Rams. He's straight taking advantage of constant volume, and when Darnold feels pressure in the backfield - which he should, provided the protective approach we're likely to see from New England - he'll look to inspect the ball to one of his top playmakers.

Walker has been exceptional at developing area in the death game, and I anticipate more of the same in the Super Bowl. During the routine season, opposing running backs averaged over 30 receiving lawns on roughly five catches per game against the Patriots. They've shown vulnerability to backs through the air, which sets Walker approximately make an impact because .

Sam Darnold o2.5 Rushing Attempts (+115)|Lucky Rebel

Credit to our resident intern, Alex Bohling, for yelling this one out on one of our programs recently. The cost is sitting as high as +115, which is appealing by itself, however the path to the over is there also.

While mobility isn't normally connected with Darnold, we've seen him utilize his legs more regularly as of late. He logged three brings in the AFC National championship, none in the Divisional Round blowout where rushing wasn't required, and he closed the regular season on a five-game streak with at least 3 hurrying attempts in each contest.

One crucial aspect here is the potential for kneel-downs. I'm anticipating the Seahawks to win this game, which unlocks for those late-game hurrying attempts to help press this prop over the number if Darnold doesn't arrive through scrambles previously.

More From Danny

When it comes to the game overall, as I mentioned, I do think the Seahawks triumph. That said, the current enhancements from this New England defense offer me some time out when it pertains to laying -4.5 with Seattle preflop.

I'm not totally persuaded the Patriots defense is as dominant as it's looked over the past month, or if that's just been a by-product of their competition. New England played the league's easiest schedule during the regular season and graded out as more of a typical defense in general, but they've revealed a visible uptick in the postseason - particularly in the red zone.

Nevertheless, the Seahawks are the more complete team, and I still anticipate them to end up on top. Rather than laying the number pregame, I'll be wanting to attack Seattle live and ideally grab a much better number than -4.5.

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