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No group goes into the World Cup playoffs under more pressure than Italy, and that seriousness continues to point towards a mindful method today.

With the real possibility of missing a 3rd straight competition, anticipate a tight, controlled performance rather than anything extensive.

My Italy vs. Northern Ireland predictions and complimentary wagering picks expect a tense, low-event fight most likely to stay Under the overall today.

Italy vs Northern Ireland chooses and forecasts

My Italy vs Northern Ireland finest bet: Under 2.5 (-108 at Sports Interaction)

Italy understand how this story can end, which's precisely why they will not open things up in this match. After previous playoff failures, expect a controlled, defense-first approach, especially with three tidy sheets in their last 4 home matches.

Northern Ireland aren't built to press the rate anyway. Their last 3 matches have all ended up 1-0, and their five-at-the-back system when out of ownership is created to limit chances and annoy.

With neither side seeking to take threats in a knockout setting, I anticipate the Italians to find a way to win a low-scoring match.

Italy vs Northern Ireland same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 2.5

Italy moneyline

Mateo Retegui 2+ shots on target

Pedigree. Class. Desire. This Italian side faces enormous pressure to perform, particularly in your home, however they are the deeper group, and I'll back them to finish the job within 90 minutes.

A huge part of that will be Mateo Retegui. He's remained in good type in Saudi-league action and has actually constantly shown up in huge moments, netting five goals in 8 qualifying games. I expect him to pepper the net every possibility he gets.

More World Cup Playoff Picks

Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Poland vs. Albania Slovakia vs. Kosovo Turkey vs. Romania Ukraine vs. Sweden Czechia vs. Ireland Denmark vs. North Macedonia

Italy vs Northern Ireland beginning XI

Italy (3-5-2): Donnarumma; Mancini, Bastoni, Calafiori; Dimarco, Tonali, Barella, Locatelli, Politano; Retegui, Kean

(3-5-1-1): Charles; McConville, McNair, Hume; Spencer, Devenny, Galbraith, Charles, Devlin; Price; Donley

Italy vs Northern Ireland odds

Odds as of 3-26, thanks to Sports Interaction.

How to enjoy Italy vs Northern Ireland

Italy vs Northern Ireland key injuries

Italy: Alessandro Bastoni (Questionable), Gianluca Scamacca (Questionable). Northern Ireland: Daniel Ballard (Out), Conor Bradley (Out), Jamal Lewis (Out).